Wednesday, August 30, 2006

Sweeney's Loosing Support, 13% so far

Thoughts on the latest poll:

Sweeney's got around 53% saying they'd vote for him if the election were today. I don't know if those polled are are likely voters or just voters [update, I heard that the poll asked anyone who answered the phone so it might not even be limited to those registered to vote]. I do know this is an election that is still 2 1/2 months away, in a district that John "Do-over" Sweeney won with 66% of the vote in 2004.

Since the last published poll, Gillibrand has gotten her name recognition up, and her campaign is in full swing.

Sweeney's trajectory is on the down-slide and Gillibrand's is on the rise.

Voters decide elections not polls.

What the poll shows is that voters are jumping off Sweeney's 381 Meridian (that's a ship, a very expensive one in case you didn't read about it already). This is a winnable district for Kirsten Gillibrand.

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