According to Congressional Quarterly, the race is no longer "leaning Republican" read about it here.
Slow upstate economy weakens Sweeney, listen in online. Which is interesting since I've always thought that Sweeney's opposition to the dredging was stupid for economic reasons. The dredging project will pour millions into one of the districts most rural counties. When the work is done, property values along the hudson will rise and more people will visit the area bringing more money to Main Street towns along both sides of the river.